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20160628 Susan Fletcher Public Outreach for Future Mobility_v6_Rev 6-27-16Future Mobility Future Mobility Future Mobility Future Mobility in Collin Countyin Collin Countyin Collin Countyin Collin CountyPresented bySusan FletcherCommissioner, Pct. 1forProsper Town CouncilProsper Town CouncilJ 28 2016June 28, 20161 Collin County Growth•High growth rate sustained over last 40 years 6thLargest County inTexas•6thLargest County in Texas•Population at“build-out”Population at buildout estimated to be 2.1 M - 3.4 M2 Question!WhatshouldtheWhat should the transportation system in Collin County look like for over2millionpeople?over 2 million people?3 Examples in Other CountiesWhatdothesystemsofWhat do the systems of “limited access roadways” (LARs) look likiDlldTtlike in Dallas and Tarrant Counties?Counties?4 LARs Comparison1 959 4491,959,44952,496,8595 LARs Network DallasMorningPlanning in Dallas Co Dallas Morning NewsJuly 2, 1957Dallas Co. Population1950:614,7991950: 614,799 1957: 850,508 est.1960: 951,52746 Existing and Currently-Pl d LARPlanned LARs67 Traffic: Today and TomorrowExamplesof6‐lanearterialsExamples of 6lane arterialsCapacityCurrentBuild‐outCapacityCurrentBuildoutUS38045,00050,00093,000US 380 45,000 50,000 93,000SH 78 45,000 22,000 61,000vehicles per day 8 Traffic: Today and TomorrowB ildt?Build‐out?9 SO !SO !Hddt iHow do we determine whatthetransportationwhat the transportation system should be?10 Strategic PlanningTake strategicsteps forwardWhatarethosesteps?What are those steps?11 Planning Strategicallyggy•Resist the urge to plan for gptomorrow or even 2035 or 2040. Thi k“BUILDOUT”hThink “BUILD‐OUT” when planning. pg•Analyze traffic demand at build‐out y12 Planning Strategicallyggy•Partner with TxDOT, cities, transit agencies and NCTCOG to develop b ildtlbuild‐out plan•Itwillappeartobean•It will appear to be an overwhelming task – will require gqEVERYONE to accomplish it13 Planning Strategicallyggy•Take a lesson from planning in pgDallas County before the 50s•Identify major roadway “backbone”forthemobility“backbone” for the mobility systemy14 Efforts To-Date•2014 Update to Mobility Plan pyincluded first demographic iscenario•21Mpopulation2.1M population•1.2M employmentpy Efforts To-Date•Developed second demographic scenarioAdtidilldl•Assumed east side will develop same as west side•Along Outer Loop, included typical development for a LAR Efforts To-Date2ndScenario Results:•3.44M Pop16MEl•1.6M Empl Efforts To-Date•Ran build‐out travel demand models forbothscenariosfor both scenarios Candidates for LARsBlue roads ‐exceed capacityofcapacity of 6‐lanes Planning StrategicallyLARs1.US 3802.SH782.SH 783.N‐S Road btUS75&betwUS 75 &Lake Lavon4.Outer Loop20 Planning StrategicallyggyLong‐term planning and workingworking together can prevent THIS21 Planning StrategicallyggyAdidTHISAnd provide THIS22 Planning StrategicallyggyBeyondcongestionBeyond congestion, what impact will each of these conditions have on our economy? 23 Economic ImpactpFrom the dawn of civilization, transportation has been the defining force in economic progress. The earliest ttl tttdlthtiblsettlements were concentrated along the great navigable waterways of the world, and trails and trade routes determinedcommerceformillenniaOvertimerailroadsdetermined commerce for millennia. Over time, railroads, highways, and, more recently, airports have been added to the infrastructure complex of the world. As at the pbeginning, modern economies are defined by accessibility and logistics, and superior transportation offerings are a critical factor in the competitiveness and success of a region.Dr. M. Ray Perryman, March 21, 201624 Economic ImpactpThoroughfaresThoroughfares generally only gyysupport “local” tildretail and commercial25 Economic ImpactpButlimitedaccessBut limited access roadways support larger regional commercial likeTHISlike THIS26 Economic Impactpor THIS27 Economic Impactpor THIS28 The Economic ImpactThe Economic ImpactppA very important question must be A very important question must be answerednow:answerednow:answered now:answered now:Willthe“economicengine”thatWill the economic engine that has made Collin County what it is today be maintained –or left to grindtoahalt?grind to a halt? 29 Economic EngineEconomic EngineggDNT DNT --Taxable Sales (1Taxable Sales (1--Mile Corridor Buffer)Mile Corridor Buffer)201220122013201320142014201020102011201120122012200720072008200820092009200520052006200620072007$0.0$0.0 $0.5$0.5 $1.0$1.0 $1.5$1.520042004Billions+73+73%%30 Economic EngineEconomic EngineggUS US 75 75 --Taxable Sales Taxable Sales (1(1--Mile Mile Corridor Corridor Buffer)Buffer)20122012201320132014201420092009201020102011201120122012200720072008200820092009200420042005200520062006+63%+63%0.00.0 0.50.5 1.01.0 1.51.5 2.02.0 2.52.5 3.03.0Billions31 Economic EngineEconomic Enginegg5.5 Miles: PGBT-SRT2014 Taxable Sales per Mile: 5.5 Miles: PGBT-SRT2014 Taxable Sales per Mile: p$209.6 MillionAvg. Yearly Growth per Mile:$15 2 Millionp$209.6 MillionAvg. Yearly Growth per Mile:$15 2 Million$15.2 Million$15.2 Million18 Mil I635SRT18 Mil I635SRT18 Miles: I-635-SRT2014 Taxable Sales per Mile: $143.6 Million18 Miles: I-635-SRT2014 Taxable Sales per Mile: $143.6 MillionAvg. Yearly Growth per Mile:$9 MillionAvg. Yearly Growth per Mile:$9 Million32 Estimated Funding Needed for LARs andPrincipalArterials(blue)to2040and Principal Arterials (blue) to 2040Outer LoopRockwall Co to Denton Co4 main lanes4 service road lanes$2.4 billionUS 75 Re‐buildH 635 to SRT$3 billionUS 75 WideningOL to Co Line $190 million$US 78 as a LARPGBT to FM 6$790 millionUS 380 as a LARUS75toPrestonRd/SH289$535millionUS 75 to Preston Rd/SH 289$535millionLAR Parallel to US 75from Laud Howell/FM 543 to PGBT$1.1 billionDNT Extension and Widening $1.6 billionSRT Widening includes Denton Co$110 millionPGBT Widening including Dallas and Denton Co$78 millionCollin Co Mobility Plan Principal Arterials $1.3 billionTOTAL 2040 NEEDS $11.103 billion33 Estimated Funding Available to 2040Collin**System$37.4Infrastructure Maintenance•Maintain & Operate Existing Facilities•Bridge Replacements$4.0MPAmize Existing S$7.2GrowthDevelopmentandManagement and Operations•Improve Efficiency & Remove Trips from System•Traffic Signals and Bicycle & Pedestrian Improvements $0.9Maxime$3.6$27 2Rail and BusGrowth, Development, and Land Use StrategiesMore Efficient Land Use & Transportation Balance$0.5$2 4 Infrastructurevestment$27.2HOV/Managed LanesIncrease Auto OccupancyInduce Switch to Transit$2.4StrategicInv$43.4Freeways/Tollways and ArterialsAdditional Vehicle Capacity$8.3Mobility 2040 Expenditures $118.9**Actual dollars, in billions. Values may not sum due to independent rounding.$16.1***Estimated values, actual figures will be determined by ongoing project and program implementation.934 Collin County Estimated Gap Through 2040Needs$11.1BNeeds $11.1BAvailable $ 8.3B$Gap $ 2.8BOver 25 years, per year is $112MFor5yearsthatis$560MFor 5 years, that is $560M1035 Next StepsNext StepsDevelop process for cities, TxDOT, transit agencies and NCTCOGtoworktogetheronNCTCOG to work together on build‐out planp36 Next StepsNext StepsCities and County agree where LARS should go in diilorder to maximize larger commercialdevelopmentascommercial development as opposed to neighborhood commercial37 Next StepsNext StepsWorktogethertofindroutesWork together to find routes through our fast‐growth county now in order to ROWpreserve ROW38 Th k f ll i t Thank you for allowing me to serve as Prosper’svoice on the serve as Prospersvoice on the Commissioners Court. 39 DNT Extension40